Just added another comment to Ubuntu Bug #1:
Two years ago Michael Dell said:
“People are always asking us to support Linux on the desktop, but the question is: ‘Which Linux are you talking about?’ If we say we like Ubuntu, then people will say we picked the wrong one. If we say we like and support Ubuntu, Novell, Red Hat, and Xandros, then someone would ask us, ‘Why don’t you support Mandriva? The challenge we have with picking one is that we think we’d disenchant the other distributions’ supporters. It’s not that there are too many Linux desktop distributions, it’s that they’re all different, they all have supporters, and none of them can claim a majority of the market. If you look at DistroWatch, you’ll see zillions of these distributions. Which one should we do? And, everyone keeps telling us that they want different distributions. So, our conclusion is to do them all and let the customer decide.”
A year ago they started selling Ubuntu systems.
[Update: right now, “sales of Linux on Dell computers continue to grow“]
Today I read this:
“No Consumer Linux from Novell or Red Hat”
Basically, Novell and Red Hat won’t be trying to get consumer desktop market share, focusing instead only on the ‘enterprise’ desktop market; Fedora and openSUSE thus appear to be relegated to ‘hobbyist OS’ level. Ubuntu is now THE distro of choice for home use, with no major competitors, but I think we’ve known that for some time:
(note that we’re due for a big bump in the search results in about a week :)
So going forward with Hardy, its time to focus on a new trend graph:
XP is on its way out; Vista is mediocre at best and an excellent example of bloatware, but still has inertia helping it along; OS X is tied to Apple’s hardware, so the mid-to-high end of the market.
There’s going to be a tipping point soon; the “race to the bottom” that Sony, et al are terrified of: $300 (or less) sub-notebooks and similar devices.
That’s not Apple’s market. Vista won’t run on them. XP, even discounted, would add a significant percentage cost.
Then there’s Ubuntu :)
I hope to see Hardy Heron really take flight and see some Ubuntu preloads from new sources this year. On store shelves for Christmas would be nice :)
[Update April 25: Hardy was released yesterday; go grab your copy! :]
Update May 20: Apple now makes two-thirds of all PCs that are $1000 or more! Looks like they’ve won the high-end of the market. Also of note, Ubuntu has set a time schedule for LTS point releases (the first comes 3 months after a LTS release, followed every six months until the next LTS release) and confirmed that the next LTS release will be in April 2010 (unless Linux vendors decide to synchronize releases…)
Update June 11: And here’s Ubuntu looking to fuel the ‘race to the bottom':
Mark Shuttleworth, who runs Ubuntu’s distribution arm Canonical, says top PC makers are turning to him to help build out the next generation Internet notebook devices, or “netbooks.”
In a Monday item on his blog, Shuttleworth provides more detail about the effort, what the technology aims to do, and how it aims to do it.
“The Canonical OEM team has been approached by a number of OEM’s who want to sell netbooks (small, low-cost laptops with an emphasis on the web) based on Ubuntu,” Shuttleworth writes. “Almost universally, they’ve asked for standard Ubuntu packages and updates, with an app launcher that’s more suited to new users and has the feeling of a ‘device’ more than a PC.”